Application of multiple regression models for inflation modelling
Articles
Ana Čuvak
Vilnius Gediminas Technical University
Žilvinas Kalinauskas
Vilnius Gediminas Technical University
Published 2021-06-15
https://doi.org/10.15388/LMR.2007.24239
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Keywords

consumer price inflation
HCPI
vector error correction model
cointegration

How to Cite

Čuvak, A. and Kalinauskas, Žilvinas . (2021) “Application of multiple regression models for inflation modelling”, Lietuvos matematikos rinkinys, 47(spec.), pp. 434–441. doi:10.15388/LMR.2007.24239.

Abstract

This paper examines the Lithuanian consumer price inflation from 1996 January till 2006 December using a modern non-stationary time series and econometric theory.  The multiple regressionmodels are proposed for inflation modeling. The stationarity of Lithuanian inflation and the main explored exogenous variables are analyzed using the augmented Dickey–Fuller test.  All indicators are integrated of order one.  Vector error correction (VECM) model of Lithuanian inflation processes is investigated and proposed for inflation modeling.

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