Export Analysis and Forecasting Models
Edmundas Kazimieras Zavadskas
Vilniaus Gedimino technikos universitetas Statybos ekonomikos ir NT vadybos katedra
Artūras Kaklauskas
Vilniaus Gedimino technikos universitetas Statybos technologijos ir vadybos katedra
Birutė Galinienė
Vilniaus universitetas Visuomenės ūkio katedra
Birutė Visokavičienė
Vilniaus universitetas Visuomenės ūkio katedra
Published 2002-12-01

How to Cite

Zavadskas E. K., Kaklauskas A., Galinienė B. and Visokavičienė B. (2002) “Export Analysis and Forecasting Models”, Ekonomika, 57, pp. 136–145. doi: 10.15388/Ekon.2002.16980.


There is a model for Lithuanian export sector suggested in this research. Based on the presumption that the efficiency of export depends on many micro, meso and macrolevel environmental variables, the aim was to develop a model for Lithuanian export. The model would determine rational variables by undertaking an analysis of the micro, meso and macrolevel environment affecting export and recommend the increase of the export’s competitiveness. The analysis of the export sector in developed countries and Lithuania allows for the identification of the areas where the situation in Lithuania is comparable, partly comparable with or quite different from the level attained by developed countries. The data of this analysis can be used in identifying export development trends in developed countries and further provide recommendations for Lithuania. To demonstrate the application of the research, recommendations for the improvement of the export will be presented in this paper.

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